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This looks like a 12-game slate, but it’s actually much tighter. Of course games such as NE/BUF, OAK/IND MIN/CHI and JAX/DEN could turn into fantasy-friendly affairs, and there undoubtedly will be some strong fantasy performances in them. But from a probabilistic standpoint, it’s very unlikely those games stretch toward 60+ total points. If we’re hunting for game stacks and offensive shootouts, we’re mostly looking at an eight-game slate.

The point of this column is to use the news, snap counts, usage, matchups and trends to both be a little contrarian and avoid whiffs. Note that I am discussing the DraftKings main slate only, aka the 12 Sunday day games.

1. Daniel Jones against the Redskins
If you followed preseason, you know Danny Dimes’ smashing regular season debut was not a fluke. Jones was the most impressive quarterback I saw this preseason, and the mobility he showed against the Bucs last week is the icing on the cake. Now comes a home debut for Jones against a Redskins team on a short week and lacking talent across the board. Josh Norman is PFF’s No. 81 CB among 101 qualifiers, the Redskins have PFF’s No. 28 pass rush plus No. 26 coverage grade. Jones will be a $6K quarterback before too long, but he’s at $5,300 for now as pricing struggles to free itself from the ill-fated pre-draft talent evaluation.

1. Last chance on Austin Ekeler
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