Yep, Red River is college football’s most chaotic rivalry – Banner Society

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“Throw out the record books when these two play,” they say. But which is our record-throwingest rivalry?
Let’s put it to the test, somewhat.
To start, refer back to this post, which ranked the internet’s 23 most prominent FBS football rivalries by one measure of chaos, which I’ll explain further below. Those rivalries, based entirely on a master list of rankings pulled from everywhere else online, were:
Alabama-Auburn
Alabama-LSU
Army-Navy
Auburn-Georgia
BYU-Utah
Cal-Stanford
Clemson-South Carolina
Florida-Florida State
Florida-Georgia
Florida State-Miami
Georgia-Georgia Tech
Kansas-Missouri
Michigan-Michigan State
Michigan-Ohio State
Minnesota-Wisconsin
Mississippi State-Ole Miss
Notre Dame-USC
Oklahoma-Oklahoma State
Oklahoma-Texas
Oregon-Oregon State
Pitt-West Virginia
Texas-Texas A&M
UCLA-USC
This is not my personal list of college football’s best rivalries. Save your emails for the end of this blog. This was a combined ranking of the internet’s most recognized big rivalries. There is no possible perfect list of great rivalries; this one includes almost no non-Power 5 games, includes a few series that are on hold, and excludes a game you are emailing me about right now. I did not make this list. The internet did.
(I added just one game. In every stage below, Washington-Washington State joins us. This corrects the internet’s most glaring FBS oversight.)
What happened next, in 2019: a three-step process to whittle this list until we discover the most CHAOS-prone major rivalry of the last 25 years.
Stage 1: Which of these rivalries has the most games in which the “better” team lost?
As in the original post, let’s define this stage based on games in which a team lost to a rival that graded three or more points worse on the year in full-season SP+. These aren’t necessarily Vegas upsets (those come later), but are games in which the team that was better over the course of the entire season lost to its rival anyway.
Let’s now list only rivalries that have achieved this at least four times over the last 25 years. This cuts the list of 24 games down to 13:

Major rivalries, ranked by games in which the significantly inferior team* won (1994-2018)

Rivalry

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Rivalry’s best math conqueror

Rivalry

Anti-math games

Rivalry’s best math conqueror

Florida-Georgia

7: ’97, ’02, ’03, ’05, ’07, ’12, ’14

Florida, 5 times

Oklahoma-Texas

6: ’96, ’01, ’06, ’08, ’15, ’18

Texas, 6 times

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